The GCSE results for England, Wales, and Northern Ireland were released today, Thursday 21^st August 2025. This cohort of children was in Year 6 when the first COVID-19 lockdown occurred, and their transition to secondary school and early secondary education was significantly disrupted. I write in the capacity about this situation as a deputy head teacher at a secondary school and as a father of one of those year 6s.

The key points from the national picture are only really interesting within the context of your own setting. So, I work in an inner-city school, which has a high proportion of disadvantaged children as well as a high number with SEND and EAL needs, all varying in some shape or form. Our results are not for sharing here: anyone inside the profession knows that any headlines we have today are the base figures. Reasonable adjustments and remarks are also key factors.

Overall Performance for England and Wales:

• Overall results are largely stable, with minimal variation from the previous year.
• The proportion of entries achieving a grade 7 or above (equivalent to A/A* in the old system) is 21.8% for all students and 23.0% for 16-year-olds in England, a slight increase from last year. This figure is also higher than the pre-pandemic level in 2019 (20.8%).
• The overall pass rate (achieving a grade 4 or above, a “standard pass”) is 67.1%, slightly down from 67.4% in 2024. For 16-year-olds in England, this figure is 70.5%, also a marginal increase.

Subject-Specific Trends:

• The proportion of students achieving a grade 4 or above in English and Maths has fallen slightly for 16-year-olds, meaning more students will be required to resit these exams.
  • English Language: The standard pass rate for all students fell from 61.6% to 59.7%. For 16-year-olds, it dropped from 71.2% to 70.6%.
  • Maths: The standard pass rate for all students fell from 59.6% to 58.2%. For 16-year-olds, it saw a marginal decline from 72.0% to 71.9%.
• There was a notable increase in entries for Combined Science and a decline in entries for separate sciences (Biology, Chemistry, and Physics).
• Entries in History and German also fell, while entries in Statistics and Music saw increases for the second year in a row.

Gender and Regional Disparities:

• The gender gap has narrowed to its smallest level since 2000. While girls continue to outperform boys overall, the gap at the top grades (7+) has closed due to a slight improvement in boys’ results and a marginal dip in girls’ results. In maths, boys actually outperformed girls in terms of top grades and standard passes.
• Regional disparities remain, with London having the highest proportion of students achieving top grades and standard passes, and the West Midlands and North East having the fewest. However, the gap between London and other regions has narrowed slightly.

Vocational and Technical Qualifications (VTQs):

• Over 360,500 VTQ results were also issued.
• The most popular subjects for Technical Awards were Leisure, Travel and Tourism, and Health, Public Services and Care.

Opinions and Analysis:

• Ofqual’s perspective: The exams regulator, Ofqual, has hailed the results as a sign of “continued stability,” emphasizing that the standards of the qualifications have been maintained year-on-year. They believe the results are a reliable “passport to opportunity” for students.
• School leaders and experts: Many in the education sector have noted the resilience of this particular cohort, who faced significant disruption during their early secondary school years due to the pandemic. However, there is a recurring concern that the results once again expose the deep-seated inequalities in the education system, particularly the impact of socio-economic factors on student attainment.
• Student sentiment: Qualifying children have expressed a mix of emotions, from pride and relief to disappointment and anxiety. Online forums show some students expressing frustration over grade boundaries, while others offer support and reassurance that GCSE results do not define future success.
• Resits and future implications: The slight decrease in English and Maths pass rates for 16-year-olds means that more students will be required to resit these exams in their post-16 education. This is a point of concern for colleges and the students themselves.
• Long-term trends: The results continue a trend of top grades remaining higher than pre-pandemic levels, a phenomenon that has been observed for the past two years. The narrowing gender and regional gaps are seen as positive developments by some, while others caution that the disparities are still “stubbornly entrenched” and require significant investment to truly address.

The Narrative of Stability and Subtlety

What follows is a more detailed analysis of the national picture.

An Analytical Commentary on the 2025 GCSE Results: The Nuances of a ‘Stable’ System

The 2025 GCSE results have been officially framed as a return to “stability” following the period of turbulence caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. While headline figures from exam regulators like Ofqual and the Joint Council for Qualifications (JCQ) support this claim, a comprehensive analysis of the underlying data reveals a more complex and nuanced picture. The overall grade distribution is broadly consistent with that of 2024, yet this top-level consistency masks several critical and evolving trends that warrant closer examination.

This report delves into these subtleties, analysing the marginal changes in grade outcomes, the continued narrowing of the long-standing gender gap, the stubborn persistence of regional and socioeconomic disparities, and the mounting pressure on the mandatory English and Maths resit policy. The findings suggest that while the system may be in a state of statistical equilibrium, it is not without significant stress. The data on subject entries points to pragmatic shifts in student choices, while a comparative analysis with other UK nations highlights divergent educational outcomes. This commentary provides a multi-layered perspective on the state of secondary education, moving beyond surface-level statistics to offer a professional and strategic assessment of the challenges and opportunities ahead.

The Lasting Echo of Disruption

The cohort of students who sat their GCSE exams in 2025 is the final group to have their education significantly impacted by the Covid-19 pandemic. Their last term of primary school and their transition to secondary education were profoundly disrupted by school closures and the rapid shift to remote learning. Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson has acknowledged the “remarkable resilience” this cohort has demonstrated in navigating these challenges.  

This cohort’s unique educational journey has had a direct and lasting consequence on the national educational data landscape. For the first time, a core metric for measuring school performance, the Progress 8 score, will not be published. This is because the students did not sit their Key Stage 2 SATs, which provide the prior attainment data necessary to calculate student progress from primary to secondary school. The absence of this benchmark fundamentally changes the way these results must be interpreted. Without the ability to distinguish between raw attainment and genuine academic progress, a comprehensive understanding of school effectiveness is limited. Analysts are thus compelled to rely on aggregate attainment figures, making it more challenging to pinpoint whether changes in performance are due to effective school support or are simply a reflection of the academic profile of the student intake. This lack of a longitudinal performance measure necessitates a more granular analysis of other available demographic and policy-related data to uncover the deeper trends at play.  

The Headline Figures and the ‘Stability’ Watchword

The central message from official sources regarding the 2025 GCSE results is one of “stability”. The Joint Council for Qualifications (JCQ) and Ofqual have reported figures that appear to support this claim. Overall, 67.1% of all entries achieved a grade 4 or above, representing a marginal reduction from 67.4% in 2024. When focusing on the core group of 16-year-olds, the proportion achieving a grade 4 or above was 70.5%, a negligible increase from 70.4% last year.  

At the top end of the grading spectrum, a fractional increase was observed. The proportion of all UK entries awarded a grade 7 or above rose to 21.9% this year, up slightly from 21.8% in 2024. In England, the percentage of entries from 16-year-olds receiving top grades also saw a small uptick from 22.6% to 23.0%.  

This emphasis on stability is not accidental. Sir Ian Bauckham, Chief Regulator at Ofqual, has stated that the “standard of work required to achieve a grade seven or a grade four at GCSE is the same this year as it was last year”. The consistent use of the term “stable” across multiple official communications serves a strategic purpose. It aims to instil confidence in the exam system and reassure the public that grading standards have successfully returned to a predictable, pre-pandemic-like state. This narrative, while statistically accurate at a macro level, conceals the underlying tensions and shifts that are only visible through a more detailed examination of specific demographic, regional, and subject-level data.  

A Comparison to Pre-Pandemic Standards

While the 2025 results are considered stable in comparison to 2024, they remain elevated when benchmarked against the last pre-pandemic exam year, 2019. This suggests that the grading system has settled at a new “normal” that is slightly higher than the pre-Covid baseline.

For example, the proportion of entries at grade 7 or above is 21.9% this year, which is significantly higher than the 20.8% recorded in 2019. Similarly, the standard pass rate (grade 4 or above) stands at 67.4% in 2025, which is also a marginal increase over the 67.3% seen in 2019. The proportion of grade 9s issued also rose slightly from 5.1% to 5.2%. The overall rate for grades 1 or above, however, has fallen, sitting at 97.9% in 2025, a decrease from 98.3% in 2019 and the lowest since 2005.  

The continued elevation of grades above the 2019 benchmark indicates that the grade inflation that occurred during the pandemic has not been entirely reversed. This is a testament to the “comparable outcomes” policy, a mechanism that ensures grade boundaries are adjusted to prevent a sharp drop in results, even if exam papers are perceived as more challenging. This policy has successfully created a new, slightly higher standard for the GCSE, which will serve as the benchmark for future cohorts. This establishes a subtle but lasting legacy of the pandemic on the national grading landscape.  

The Narrowing, Yet Enduring, Gender Gap

One of the most notable trends in the 2025 results is the continued narrowing of the gender gap, which is now at its “narrowest point this century”. This is a significant development, particularly at the top grades. The proportion of female entries awarded a grade 7 or above was 24.5%, compared to 19.4% for male entries. While girls remain ahead, the gap has closed to 5.1 percentage points, a notable reduction from the 5.7 percentage points of the previous year.  

The closing of this gap is not a consequence of a decline in girls’ performance. In fact, the proportion of top grades for 16-year-old girls remained steady at 25.5%, while for boys, it rose by 0.7 percentage points, from 19.8% to 20.5%. Similarly, at the grade 4 or above level, the gap narrowed by 0.6 percentage points, with boys’ performance remaining stable at 64.1% while girls’ attainment saw a small drop from 70.8% to 70.2%. The data indicates that the narrowing of the gender gap is primarily driven by an improvement in male performance, rather than a significant regression among female students. This trend is consistent with a similar improvement in male attainment at A-level this year. This suggests that male students have responded particularly well to the post-pandemic, exam-heavy assessment environment. The underlying causes of this academic resurgence among male pupils warrant further investigation to determine if it is tied to pedagogical methods, curriculum content, or socio-cultural factors.  

The London-West Midlands Divide: A Regional Commentary

Significant regional disparities continue to be a defining feature of the English education system, with London consistently outperforming all other regions. For top grades (grade 7 and above), London’s proportion stood at 28.4% this year, a slight decrease from 28.5% in 2024, but still substantially higher than the lowest-performing regions. London’s top-grade performance is more than 10 percentage points higher than the worst-performing regions, such as the North East, which had a rate of 17.8%.  

At the standard pass level (grade 4 and above), London also maintained its lead, with 71.6% of entries achieving this benchmark. However, this figure is down from 72.5% in 2024. This decline, coupled with a slight narrowing of the gap to other regions like the West Midlands (62.9%) and the North East (64.9%), contributes to the overall perception that the regional divide is closing. The West Midlands had the lowest pass rate of any English region.  

The perceived narrowing of the regional gap is a statistical artifact. While London’s pass rate saw a decline, most other regions saw either a slight increase or a stable performance. London’s continued and substantial lead in top grades underscores a deep-seated stratification within the English education system. This persistent disparity is likely symptomatic of wider socio-economic inequalities and varying levels of investment in communities across the country. The gap between London and the North East has now been in place for three consecutive years. The sustained superior performance of Northern Ireland (31.6% at grade 7 or above), which operates under a different system, serves as a compelling counter-example and a point of reference for policy discussions.  

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Table 1: Regional and National GCSE Performance (2025 vs. 2019)

Region/Nation	Grade 7/A+ (2025)	Grade 7/A+ (2019)	Grade 4/C+ (2025)	Grade 4/C+ (2019)
North-east England	17.8%	16.4%	64.9%	63.8%
North-west England	18.8%	18.6%	64.2%	64.9%
Yorkshire & the Humber	18.4%	17.8%	63.6%	64.1%
West Midlands	18.5%	18.1%	62.9%	63.8%
East Midlands	18.1%	18.3%	65.0%	65.8%
Eastern England	22.2%	20.5%	68.0%	67.1%
South-west England	21.4%	20.4%	67.8%	67.1%
South-east England	24.6%	23.5%	70.0%	69.3%
London	28.4%	25.7%	71.6%	71.5%
England	21.8%	20.7%	67.1%	66.9%
Wales	19.5%	18.4%	62.5%	62.2%
Northern Ireland	31.6%	30.5%	83.5%	82.2%

*Note: Data for England (Grade 4/C+ in 2025) reflects the JCQ data point, and the 2019 data point is higher than in some other snippets due to different methodologies.  

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Performance by School Sector

The 2025 results reinforce the significant and stable attainment gap between state-funded and private schools. Data from state-funded institutions reveals that 20.6% of entries were awarded top grades (grade 7 or above), while at private schools, this figure stood at 49.2%. This disparity is even more pronounced at the standard pass level, where a 24 percentage point gap exists between state schools (66.5% at grade 4 or above) and private schools (90.5% at grade 4 or above). This gap has remained virtually unchanged from the previous year.  

Within the state sector, there are further differences. Free schools demonstrated a higher proportion of top grades (22.7%) compared to both academies (19.5%) and comprehensives (19.8%). The stability of the state-private school gap over time points to a deeply ingrained stratification within the educational system. It suggests that despite various policy efforts and reforms, the fundamental divide in resources, teacher recruitment and retention, and overall educational provision between these sectors continues to result in profoundly different student outcomes. The performance of free schools, however, presents an interesting data point for policymakers, as it may indicate that certain operational models within the state sector are more effective at raising high-level attainment.  

English and Maths: The Resit Imperative

The headline GCSE results for English language and Maths show a decline in the overall pass rate for all students. However, this aggregate figure can be misleading. A more detailed analysis reveals a critical distinction between the performance of the core 16-year-old cohort and the post-16 resit candidates. For 16-year-olds in England, the proportion achieving a grade 4 or higher in English language fell only slightly, from 71.2% in 2024 to 70.6% in 2025. In Maths, the drop for this age group was even more negligible, from 72.0% to 71.9%.  

The fall in the overall national pass rate is therefore a direct consequence of the massive and growing post-16 resit cohort, whose pass rates are significantly lower. The pass rate for students aged 17 or older was 20.9% for English and 17.1% for Maths. This data reframes the narrative from one of academic decline among the core student population to one of a systemic challenge with a specific government policy. The mandatory resit requirement, which forces students to retake these qualifications until they achieve a standard pass , is clearly creating a high-volume, low-success pipeline that statistically pulls down the national average.  

The Post-16 Resit ‘Crisis’: A Critical Evaluation

The number of GCSE entries from students aged 17 and over has risen sharply, by 12.1% this year, and now accounts for 7.8% of all GCSE entries. This surge is attributed to a larger student demographic and the return to pre-pandemic grading standards. This significant increase in resit entries has amplified existing concerns about the effectiveness of the government’s mandatory resit policy.  

Education leaders have been vocal in their criticism, calling the policy “not fit for purpose” and arguing that it “undermines young people’s confidence and motivation”. The data strongly supports this viewpoint. Less than a fifth of resitting students manage to achieve the grade 4 required to exit the resit cycle. For example, despite the rise in entries, the post-16 pass rate for maths remains around 4 percentage points below the pre-pandemic level of 21.2%. This demonstrates a fundamental disconnect between the policy’s objective and its practical outcomes. The data suggests that for a majority of students, repeated exposure to the same qualification format is not an effective path to mastery. This can be demoralizing for students who have already failed to achieve the required grade, consuming valuable educational resources without providing a meaningful return.  

A closer look at the resit data reveals a further complexity: the gender gap in post-16 maths resits has flipped, with male students now outperforming female students. This finding indicates that different demographic groups respond differently to the resit environment, suggesting that a one-size-fits-all policy may be disproportionately ineffective for certain student populations. The commentary argues that this policy, while born of good intentions, is creating a system that is both inefficient and psychologically damaging for many young people, making a strong case for a review and the consideration of alternative qualifications.  

Shifts in Subject Entries and Student Choices

Beyond the core subjects, the 2025 GCSE results reflect significant shifts in student choices. The subject with the most entries was the Combined Science double award, which saw a 0.9% increase in entries. This increase occurred concurrently with a notable decline in entries for the individual triple sciences (Biology, Chemistry, and Physics), which each fell by approximately 6%. This trend suggests a pragmatic shift, with students opting for a combined qualification that provides a solid science foundation without the higher academic demands of the triple award.  

In the humanities and languages, History entries declined by 5.7% after several years of continuous growth. Meanwhile, entries in Spanish continued to climb, rising by 2.6% and surpassing French for the first time. This development may reflect a changing perception of the global relevance and utility of different languages among students and parents. Furthermore, Statistics saw a 9.5% increase in entries, marking its second consecutive year of strong growth.  

These shifts are a powerful indicator of how students and schools are adapting to the evolving educational and economic landscape. The rise of Combined Science and Statistics points to a demand for qualifications with a clear, practical application that can serve a wider range of academic pathways. These trends suggest that the curriculum is responsive to perceived value and practical utility, highlighting a system that is in a state of continuous, if subtle, evolution.

Comparative Analysis with Wales and Northern Ireland

The 2025 GCSE results highlight a striking divergence in educational outcomes across the UK’s nations. Northern Ireland’s students achieved notably stronger results than their counterparts in both England and Wales. A significant 31.6% of entries in Northern Ireland were awarded a grade 7 or above, compared to 21.8% in England and 19.5% in Wales. This lead is not a one-off anomaly; it is a sustained trend, with Northern Ireland’s top grades rising from 30.5% in 2019 to 31.6% in 2025.  

Similarly, the standard pass rate (grade 4 or above) is substantially higher in Northern Ireland (83.5%) than in England (67.1%) and Wales (62.5%). While the grading systems and educational policies in the three nations differ, the consistent outperformance of Northern Ireland’s students offers a compelling point of comparison. It suggests that Northern Ireland’s educational framework, which has been subject to different reform trajectories than England’s, may be more effective at producing high overall attainment. The data provides a valuable point of reference for English policymakers and underscores the fact that there is no single solution to raising national education standards.  

A System in Equilibrium, but Not Without Stress

The 2025 GCSE results present a picture of delicate equilibrium. The official narrative of stability holds true at a surface level, as overall grade distributions and pass rates show only minimal variation from the previous year. This confirms that the system has settled into a new, consistent rhythm following the return to pre-pandemic grading standards.

However, a deeper dive into the data reveals that this stability is built upon a foundation of significant, yet subtle, changes. The narrowing gender gap, driven by an improvement in male performance, signals a potentially significant shift in student dynamics. The persistent regional and socioeconomic disparities highlight a system that continues to entrench inequality, with London’s sustained dominance and the significant gap between state and private schools serving as stark reminders of this challenge.

Most critically, the results expose the mounting pressure on the mandatory English and Maths resit policy. The combination of a surge in resit entries and persistently low pass rates indicates a systemic issue, one that is draining educational resources and potentially demoralizing a large number of young people. The data suggests that this policy, while well-intentioned, is not an effective mechanism for improving numeracy and literacy on a mass scale.

Looking Ahead: Policy Implications and Next Steps

Autenticity in our collective next steps as a profession need to consider these points.

1. Reforming the Resit Policy: The data on post-16 resits is a flashpoint for a long-simmering debate. The low success rates and the psychological toll on students necessitate a fundamental reassessment of the current approach. Policymakers should explore more flexible and evidence-based alternatives, such as vocational-specific qualifications or functional skills pathways that are better suited to the needs and ambitions of students who struggle with the GCSE format.
2. Addressing Regional Disparities: The entrenched regional gap requires sustained, long-term investment. Targeted educational, economic, and social programs are needed to address the root causes of generational disadvantage that are reflected in the data. Simply waiting for statistical fluctuations to close the gap is not a viable strategy.
3. Understanding Subject Trends: The shifts in subject entries, particularly the rise of Combined Science, Spanish, and Statistics, should be closely monitored. This data provides valuable insight into student and market demands, which can be used to inform curriculum development and resource allocation to ensure that the educational system remains relevant and responsive.

While the 2025 GCSE results offer a reassuring narrative of stability, the underlying data points to a system in constant flux. The path forward requires moving beyond the headlines to address the subtle but significant challenges that will shape the future of a generation